Joe C – Medium

Joe C

Pinned

Joe C

Are we about to see a repeat of 1993?

In 1993, Canada’s Conservative party got decimated by a new Reform Party. Are we about to see the same in the UK?

Jun 30

Are we about to see a repeat of 1993?

Jun 30

Pinned

Joe C

The Lib Dems are flat in the polls. So why is their seat count about to soar?

The Liberal Democrats’ electoral fate is based more on the Conservatives’ performance than their own. And that’s nothing new.

Jun 29

The Lib Dems are flat in the polls. So why is their seat count about to soar?

Jun 29

Joe C

Three provincial elections in nine days: a preview

Over the next couple of weeks, there are elections in British Columbia, New Brunswick and Saskatchewan. How is each province shaping up?

Oct 12

Three provincial elections in nine days: a preview

Oct 12

Joe C

The Tory coalition collapsed. Where to start rebuilding it?

Potential Tory leadership contenders all have explanations to why they were so comprehensively defeated. The question is: who is right?

Jul 14

The Tory coalition collapsed. Where to start rebuilding it?

Jul 14

Joe C

Can a National Rally majority be prevented?

The first round of France’s National Assembly elections opened the possibility of a far-right government. Can other parties stop it?

Jul 6

Can a National Rally majority be prevented?

Jul 6

Joe C

This time, it’s not just a simple swing for a Labour majority

The classic swingometer suggests that Labour is on the edge of being able to form a majority. But drilling down tells a different story.

May 7, 2023

This time, it’s not just a simple swing for a Labour majority

May 7, 2023

Joe C

The Expected Effects of Canadian Redistribution

The ten provincial redistricting commissions have published their reports. I look at what it means for the parties in the House of Commons.

Feb 17, 2023

CANADA REDISTRIBUTED 2021 SEAT ESTIMATE (CHANGE FROM ACTUAL 2021 RESULT): LIBERAL 153 (-7); CONSERVATIVE 130 (+11); BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS 34 (+2); NEW DEMOCRATIC PARTY 24 (-1); GREEN 2 (±0)

Feb 17, 2023

Joe C

It’s not been a bad week for the UK Conservatives. It’s been far, far worse than that.

The reaction to last week’s fiscal statement has been swift and severe. The party now faces its worst results ever.

Oct 2, 2022

It’s not been a bad week for the UK Conservatives. It’s been far, far worse than that.

Oct 2, 2022

Joe C

PR in the UK: Sizing Up the Regions

After Labour Conference voted for Proportional Representation, I look at the impact of region sizes on the proportionality of the result.

Sep 30, 2022

PR in the UK: Sizing Up the Regions

Sep 30, 2022

Joe C

PR in the UK: Mixed Member Proportional

After Labour Conference voted for Proportional Representation, I look at Mixed Member Proportional, and the specific questions it presents.

Sep 29, 2022

PR in the UK: Mixed Member Proportional

Sep 29, 2022

Joe C

Joe C

I am Joe. I am a techy at heart, a self-taught psephologist (political number cruncher), a pleasure cyclist, and someone who just calls things as he sees them.

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